Vuelta a España: History provides clues for final week
Fight for the final podi🦄um places heats up in Spain

With five days left to go in the 168澳洲5最新开奖结果:Vuelta a España, 168澳洲5最新开奖结果:Primoz Roglic (168澳洲5最新开奖结果:Jumbo-Visma) may be all but unassailabᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚ𒀱ᩚᩚᩚle as the overall leader, but the fight for the podium places n🧸ext to Roglic on Sunday in Madrid is hotting up with each mountain stage that goes back.
Closest🔯 rival Alejandro Valverde (Movistar Team) stands 2:42 back on Roglic, a distance that looks all but impossible for El Bala to bridge. Roglic's consistency to date, barring one possible wobble on Monday ne♌ar the summit of La Cubilla, and his team's glaring superiority on the climbs, make it very unlikely that the Slovenian will crack.
However, behind Valverde, who did show signs of ꦦweakness on the same climb, Tadej Pogacar (UEA Team Emirates) is just 56 seconds back in third, whils𒐪t Miguel Angel Lopez (Astana Pro Team) is a further 17 seconds down.
Rafal Majka (Bꦜora-Hansgrohe), who has been steadily climbing upwards the lower ranks of the overall in the past week, rounds out the top five just ahead of a fading and ill Nairo Quintana (Movistar). With nearly four minutes between the Majka and Lopez, barring major surprises, the former Vuelta podium finisher has now reached the top rung of his own particular GC ladder.
But i🦄s the GC battle for la roja really over? On the rest day, Movistar were making much of the way♛ the Vuelta has, in the past, had surprise changes of the leader in the sierras near Madrid even when the final finishing line was all but in sight, and recent Vueltas back them up, too.
A lesson in history
In 2015 Fabio Aru emerged to oust Tom Dumoulin on a virtually identical stage, barring the start a🌠nd finish towns, to stage 18 of this year. In 2003 Roberto Heras sank Isidro Nozal in the mountain time trial of the nearby town of El Escorial, whilst in 1985, Pedro Delgado and a Spanish alliance ousted Robert Millar from the lead in the same mou༒ntains west of the Spanish capital.
Most famously of all – albeit in the sierras of Gredos, a little further west, which this year's Vuelta visits on stage 20 – Bernard Hinault delivered one of his best-known Grand Tour performances tꦑo push Julian Gorospe, when he was riding for Movistar's earliest incarnation, Reynolds, out of the lead.
The latest race content, interviews, features, reviews and expert buying guides, d🔴irect to your inbox!
However, the critical difference between all of these historical examples is that Roglic has a🃏 far stronger team than any of these defeated riders did, except for Isidro Nozal's ONCE-Eroski squad. Yet Nozal only cracked definitively in the final mountain time trial, not a mass start stage, even if the ONCE leader looked vulnerable when Heras attacked the day before on the Navacerrada pass – which the 2019 peloton will tackl𝐆e on Thursday.
The podium in play
But even leaving Roglic out of the equation, Valverde's second place looks far from set in stone. ༺As stage 16 winner Jakob Fuglsang (Astana) observed, Valverde's relative weakness on La Cubilla could be a result of the Spaniard backing up the Tour de France and the 🔯Vuelta, whereas Lopez, of course, rode the Giro and is therefore that much more rested, whilst this is Pogacar's first-ever Grand Tour.
Furthermore, Valverde has spent much of the past three days pointing to Roglic's alleged tendency for weakness in the third week of a Grand Tour. But𒁃 last year, of course, it was Valverde who fell 🙈off the pace and out of the podium in the Vuelta's final weekend in Andorra – and it was Lopez who moved up to third overall on the Vuelta's very last mountain stage of 2018.
Lopez's performance, though, has been more uneven than Valverde's in this year's race. Having led the Vuelta on three sep🀅arate occasions in the first week, twice after mountainous stages, his second week has been much more of a rollercoaster, with two weaker performances on Los Machos and El Acebo and then a considerable improvement on La Cubilla.
Going into his first-ever Grand Tour, Pogacar's GC potential is also an unkno🌳wn, not only for the rest of the GC peloton, but for himself as well. As the 20-year-old's team staff point out, even if the Slovenian went home now, his Vuelta has been a breakthrough achievement regardless.
The flip side of raisin꧙g his bar so massively is that if there ever was an example of a rider racing for GC with absolutely nothing to lose, it's Pogacar. Could the new kid on the block suddenly decide to go for broke to try and push Valverde out of second, at the very least? Or will he suddenly falter at the final fences? Either, on paper, could happen.
Roglic, then, arguably has fewer questio♊n marks about his potential to stay in the lead than any𝐆 of his three closest opponents do about their potential to stay within sight of the podium.
This 2019 Vuelta a Espana may be lacking the cliffhanger fin🔯ales of some of its best recent editions when it comes to the most likely overall winner, but there are plenty of engaging subplots left to resolve, and the podium fight is likely to be tꩵhe biggest.
Alasdair Fotheringham has been reporting on cycling since 1991. He has covered every Tour de France since 1992 bar one, as well as numerous other bike races of all shapes and sizes, ranging from the Olympic Games in 2008 to the now sadly defunct Subida a Urkiola hill climb in Spain. As well as working for Cyclingnews, he has also written for The Independent, The Guardian, ProCycling, The Express and Reuters.